France Political Crisis: Bayrou Acknowle
The French Prime Minister Franis Beeru
has told reporters he had he he wasn't
sure that a compromise would be possible
in talks with opposition parties this
week. Those remarks coming a week before
legislators hold a confidence vote in
the government that he is currently
running of course for more. Let's bring
in Bloomberg's Paris Bureau Chief Alan
Katz. And still the prime minister,
Alan, good morning to you. Still the
prime minister says he can see a way
through this. He can see a way that he
can get support. Most other commentators
and investors tell us they can't see a
way that the prime minister can survive.
What are you hearing in Paris?
>> Well, I think BU is certainly being more
optimistic than just about anybody else
uh who is looking at this. Now, that
said, it's politics, so you you know,
never say never. Uh things have been
known to change and as he points out, a
week is a long time uh in politics. So,
I suppose the answer is you never know.
But it really does look quite likely
that he will uh be forced to resign. uh
a week from today uh when he holds this
confidence vote. The other parties,
particularly the both the Socialist
Party and the the farright national
rally party over the weekend said they
absolutely would not support him, that
they'd vote against his confidence
motion. And without either one of those
parties uh changing around and at least
be willing to abstain, it seems that he
would have very little chance of uh of
surviving that motion.
>> So, who's next? What's next?
>> Well, that's that's the million-dollar
question. I mean, you know, sort of
formally that's easy to answer, but in
terms of actually figuring out who the
people are or how it would be
structured, that's much harder. So, the
way it works is that uh if he loses the
confidence motion, uh then by who will
be forced to offer his resignation to uh
President Emanuel Mong um Mong can then
either name a new prime minister and
that person could even include France,
though that seems unlikely, but he can
name any person he wants as prime
minister. Um but again that person sort
of in the longer term over the course of
the next several months would need to be
able to sort of cal you know cobble
together enough support to be able to
pass the one really must pass bill in
France which is the budget. Uh and
that's really not obvious who that
person would be. The other alternative
or there's actually a couple of other
alternatives that that Mong has. He
could dissolve parliament like he did in
in June 2024 and call new elections. Now
that went pretty badly for his party and
its allies a year ago. So would he
really want to do that again? That it
appears unlikely, but you never know. Uh
the last possibility is that Mongol
could of course resign himself and force
presidential elections. Now he
absolutely categorically refused uh
ruled that out just on Friday. So that
appears to be off the table. Uh so it
would really be the first two options
and the most likely appears to be naming
a new prime minister. But again, finding
that person is really quite difficult.